Bitcoin’s lower lows worry traders — But is the BTC bull market really in danger?


Bitcoin’s worth has seen huge beneficial properties in latest months, accelerating from $11,000 to just about $62,000. Nevertheless, such spectacular rallies additionally embrace comparatively calm durations of worth motion.

These durations are consolidative and are wanted for the market to discover a new flooring. In bull markets, bullish continuation is probably going after these durations of ranging earlier than one other leg up can occur. 

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Presently, Bitcoin’s (BTC) worth appears to be in such a interval simply over every week after hitting all-time highs above $61,000. 

The $53,000 stage has to carry to keep away from extra draw back

BTC/USD 4-hour chart. Supply: TradingView

The four-hour chart for BTC/USD reveals a transparent downtrend since its latest all-time excessive in mid-March. This occurred after a breakthrough previous $58,000. Nevertheless, this transfer confirmed weak spot, as there wasn’t any signal of latest consumers stepping in for extra upside.

In different phrases, a bullish power can be demonstrated with a rise in quantity, which didn’t occur. Due to this fact, a correction again to $50,000 is a really regular, wholesome incidence for this market.

Furthermore, the chart reveals a short-term downtrend wherein decrease highs and decrease lows are being constructed. On this regard, Bitcoin’s worth landed within the $53,000 help zone, which could be categorized because the vital help zone to carry.

If this $53,000 help doesn’t maintain, an additional correction towards $49,000 to $50,800 is inevitable, and the markets are going to see extra blood.

Alternatively, if the $53,000 space holds, Bitcoin’s worth has to interrupt by the $56,200 space to generate power as soon as once more. In that regard, the $56,200 space could be thought of the vital resistance zone to interrupt in the meanwhile.

Nonetheless, even when $56,200 breaks, there are nonetheless different resistances remaining overhead earlier than Bitcoin’s worth can goal for brand spanking new all-time highs.

Each day timeframe reveals huge bull cycle 

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Supply: TradingView

The every day chart for Bitcoin reveals an obvious bullish cycle that’s always making larger highs and better lows. Merchants and traders ought to all the time zoom out to keep away from any confusion concerning the general development. Merely put, the value motion of Bitcoin continues to be bullish.

Due to this fact, a correction to the $50,000 space would nonetheless be very regular, if not anticipated, because the $50,000 space is a large help zone.

Even when Bitcoin’s worth corrects additional to the $44,000 space, the bullish development continues to be legitimate, as these sideways ranges have been taking place very often since breaking the 2017 all-time excessive.

So long as Bitcoin stays above $44,000, and ideally $50,000, the bearish divergence will grow to be invalid, as historical past has proven a number of examples of this.

Related development seen after the halving in 2020

BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Supply: TradingView

The chart development after the halving of Might 2020 appears to be like an identical to the latest worth motion of Bitcoin. In that sense, a failed breakout doesn’t assure {that a} bear market is imminent.

Bulls needs to be affected person, as a brand new flooring could also be established for Bitcoin’s worth. After this compression and development, a brand new impulse wave can occur as soon as once more, as seen in August 2020. In that interval, Bitcoin’s worth accelerated from $9,500 to $12,000.

The chart above reveals the invalidation of the bearish divergence, as new decrease lows didn’t happen. The present worth motion may very well be portray an analogous image, wherein a backside needs to be made between $44,000 and $50,000 to keep away from new decrease lows. If that occurs, Bitcoin’s worth will invalidate the bearish divergences and the bull market will proceed.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the author and don’t essentially mirror the views of Cointelegraph. Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails threat. You need to conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.